Published on ConservativeHome.com on 17 February 2025.
President Trump’s talks with Presidents Zelensky and Putin, together with US special envoy Keith Kellogg’s imminent arrival in Kyiv, have raised expectations that a settlement to the conflict may at last be on the horizon. As my latest polling shows, Ukrainians will be treating this prospect with as much trepidation as hope.
We asked people in Ukraine, Russia, Britain and the US whether they thought the election of President Trump would mean a longer or shorter war, and a better outcome for one side or the other.
A majority of Ukrainians (53%) thought it would mean a swifter end to the war, but most of these thought this would be on terms less favourable to Ukraine. Overall, only just under 1 in 3 Ukrainians (32%) thought Trump’s election would prove to be to Ukraine’s advantage. Russians were the most likely to believe that Trump’s election would make no difference to the outcome of the war (34%). The remainder were more likely to think it would mean a swifter end to the SMO than a longer one, and a more rather than less favourable outcome for Russia.
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