Most voters back the principle of welfare reform but doubt Labour will go through with it, according to my latest polling. We also find that winter fuel and tax rises dominate recollections of Labour’s record so far, and that people expect further tax rises in the Chancellor’s Spring Statement, value our trade relationship with the EU over the US, are more likely than not to favour tariffs on American imports.
What have people noticed?
Ukraine peace negotiations and the scrapping of NHS England were easily the two top stories when we asked what recent political news people could remember. Welfare reform, tariffs and the forthcoming Spring Statement were next on the list.
By plotting people’s answers on our political map, we see which kinds of voters have been most likely to mention each story. The Ukraine and NHS stories are close to the centre, meaning they were recalled fairly universally. News about tariffs, Gaza, Tesla, benefit cuts and Nicola Sturgeon were more likely to have been picked up in the Labour-leaning side of the map, while stories about small boats, tax rises and Rupert Lowe were most likely to have been recalled by voters in Conservative and Reform territory.
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