Edited version of my talk this week to the International Democracy Union in Washington.
Today I will talk about the findings of my latest research in the United States, focusing on two main elements. First, the evolving presidential campaign in both main parties. Second, the implications of this for an issue that matters to all of us, namely how American voters see their country’s role in the world, particularly their attitude to continuing support for Ukraine in its struggle against the Russian invasion. Most of this is drawn from a 10,000-sample poll conducted last month, with some references to an even bigger survey conducted earlier in the campaign, including focus groups in four key states.
Overall, two thirds of Americans say their country is on the wrong track. The proportion saying this has crept up since I last asked the question in September. Those who voted for President Biden in 2020 are more likely to say America is on the wrong track than the right one – indeed fully half of them say the country is heading the wrong way.
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