News

The touching wartime romance that grew from letters exchanged between a British PoW and his best friend’s sister

By Lord Ashcroft

First published in the Daily Mail on 21 September 2017.

His neat, hand-written letters are kept in a century-old wooden chest under a dressing table. Written using pen and paper obtained from his German prison guards, they provide a fascinating insight into a wartime romance between an heroic soldier who came back from the dead and his best friend’s sister.

Today Peggy Maher, the recipient of the letters and now a sprightly 94 years old, wipes away a tear as she recalls how the notes and post cards, all written more than 70 years ago, eventually led to a lifetime of happiness, once the British PoW who had penned them was finally released after nearly five years in captivity. (more…)

Like many people, I didn’t know that sepsis could be so dangerous… until it nearly killed me

By Lord Ashcroft

First published in the Daily Mail Scotland on 13 September 2017

TWO years ago sepsis came within a whisker of claiming my life. It resulted in me spending 19 days in intensive care and throughout that time it was unclear whether I would live or die.

As an international businessman, I travel widely (I have visited more than 150 countries to date) and I consider myself to be wellread (quite apart from the many books I have devoured, I have written 13 of my own). (more…)

See the September edition of Britain at War for Lord Ashcroft’s new bravery article

By lordashcroft.com

Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC has had his latest “hero of the month” article published in Britain at War, the country’s best-selling military history monthly magazine.

The September issue of the magazine has a two-page write-up on the life and bravery of Private George Imlach McIntosh, who was awarded the Victoria Cross (VC) for outstanding bravery during the Great War. (more…)

Centenary of the death of Captain Noel Chavasse VC & Bar, MC

By lordashcroft.com

Friday, August 4 2017, was the centenary of the death of Captain Noel Chavasse VC & Bar MC, one of the bravest soldiers who has ever lived.

Captain Chavasse, a doctor who served with the Royal Army Medical Corps (RAMC), was the only man to be awarded the VC and Bar – the equivalent of two VCs – during the Great War.

(more…)

See the August edition of Britain at War for Lord Ashcroft’s new bravery article

By lordashcroft.com

Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC has had his latest “hero of the month” article published in Britain at War, the country’s best-selling military history monthly magazine.

The August issue of the magazine has a two-page write-up on the life and bravery of Chief Skipper Joseph Watt, who was awarded the Victoria Cross (VC) for outstanding bravery during the Great War.

Watt, who like his father was a fisherman, volunteered for the Patrol Service in the summer of 1914 after the outbreak of the war. After duties in the North Sea, he was posted to Italy. (more…)

NEW BOOK PROJECT: LORD ASHCROFT KCMG PC and ISABEL OAKESHOTT

By Lord Ashcroft

WHITE FLAG?
An examination of Britain’s modern day defence capability

BRITAIN is at a crossroads. As we leave the EU, we face a great challenge and opportunity, to forge a new identity in an increasingly uncertain world. Our Armed Forces will be critical to our power and prosperity. (more…)

See the July edition of Britain at War for Lord Ashcroft’s new bravery article

By lordashcroft.com

Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC has had his latest “hero of the month” article published in Britain at War, the country’s best-selling military history monthly magazine.

The July issue of the magazine has a two-page write-up on the life and bravery of Acting Captain Arthur Henderson, who was awarded the Victoria Cross (VC) for outstanding bravery during the Great War.

Henderson, who was born in Paisley, Scotland, enlisted as a private in the 4th Battalion, Argyll and Sutherland Highlanders, after the outbreak of the war in August 1914. (more…)

Estimated Conservative majority rises in final Ashcroft Model update

By Lord Ashcroft

The final results from the Ashcroft Model shows an increase in the estimated Conservative majority compared to Tuesday’s figures. The new data is based on an updated survey conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, which found a hardening of the Conservative vote as Tory supporters gave a higher likelihood of turning out to vote than in previous rounds. The upshot is as follows:

  • Using voters’ self-declared likelihood to turn out, the model estimates 373 Conservative seats, or a Conservative overall majority of 96.

Read more …

Ashcroft Model update: potential majorities and seat-by-seat estimates

By Lord Ashcroft

The Conservatives remain on course to win a majority in the general election, according to new figures from the Ashcroft Model. Our “combined probabilistic model”, which calculates the sum of each party’s win chances in all the seats in which it is standing, estimates 357 Tory seats, or a potential majority of 64 (up four from the previous update published last Friday). However, this central estimate, based on an update survey conducted over the weekend, combines the data from three different turnout scenarios: including all those who currently say they will vote on Thursday (giving a Conservative majority of 70); including all those who say they voted in the EU referendum (a Conservative majority of 48); and assuming turnout matches that of the 2015 election (a Conservative majority of 78).

Read more …

Ashcroft Model update: new potential majorities and seat-by-seat estimates

By Lord Ashcroft

This week’s estimates from the Ashcroft Model suggest a narrowing of the Conservative majority, though still a comfortable victory for Theresa May. Our “combined probabilistic estimate”, in which we take the sum of each party’s win chances in all the seats in which it is standing, the model gives the Conservatives 355 seats (down from 396 last week), or a potential majority of 60.

However, the majority could be considerably better or worse than this for the Conservatives, depending on the pattern of turnout. Our model calculates three different results, depending on who actually shows up to the polls.

Read more …